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研究人員

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俞振華
俞振華 研究員
職稱 研究員
校內分機 50500
電子郵件 ericyu@nccu.edu.tw
類別 研究人員
研究專長 民意調查、選舉與投票行為、公共政策分析、美國政治
期刊論文
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Kah-yew Lim, 2021.09, 'Examining the 'Referendum Theory' in Taiwan’s Local Elections, ' Journal of Asian and African Studies, Vol.56, No.6, pp.1369-1385.(SSCI, SCOPUS)(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*, 2021.04, '2020美國總統大選與極化政治的變遷, ' 思想, No.42, pp.77-84.(*為通訊作者)
  • Hsiao, Yi-ching;Eric Chen-hua Yu*, 2020.12, 'Polarization Perception and Support for Democracy: The Case of Taiwan, ' Journal of Asian and African Studies, Vol.55, No.8, pp.1143-1162.(SSCI, SCOPUS)(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*, 2020.09, '「滾雪球」效應存在嗎?台灣選舉2018-2020, ' 問題與研究 (日文版), Vol.49, No.3, pp.107-144.(日語(文))(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Pei-chen Hsu, 2019.02, 'The Linkage Between Issue Ownership Perception and Campaign Advertising: A Case Study of the 2012 Taiwan Presidential Election, ' Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research, Vol.7, No.1, pp.23-39.(SCOPUS)(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;涂志揚, 2017.12, '選舉預測:利用全國性調查推估區域立委選情, ' 東吳政治學報, Vol.35, No.3, pp.71-120.(TSSCI)(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;翁定暐, 2017.10, '影響台灣民眾政治參與的因素:從公民規範認知的觀點出發, ' 調查研究—方法與應用, pp.9-56.(TSSCI)(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;涂志揚, 2017.09, '探討以電訪資料 及「入選機率調整法」 修正網路調查偏誤的可行性, ' 政治科學論叢, No.73, pp.81-126.(TSSCI)(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Chi Huang;Yi-ching Hsiao, 2015.05, 'Who Wants Checks and Balances? Endogeneity of the Balancing Perspective, ' Asian Journal for Public Opinion Research, Vol.2, No.3, pp.196-227.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Ching-hsin;Eric Chen-hua Yu*;Kaori Shoji, 2014.12, 'Innovations of Candidate Selection Methods: Polling Primary and Kobo under the New Electoral Rules in Taiwan and Japan, ' Japanese Journal of Political Science, Vol.15, No.4, pp.635-59.(SSCI, SCOPUS)(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;林啟耀, 2013.12, '解析台灣民眾統獨偏好:一個兩難又不確定的選擇, ' 台灣政治學刊, Vol.17, No.2, pp.165-230.(TSSCI)(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
  • 俞振華*, 2013.12, '初探民主體制下台灣民眾的領導觀, ' 法政學報, Vol.25, pp.27-64.(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
  • 俞振華, 2012.05, '探討總統施政評價如何影響地方選舉:以2009年縣市長選舉為例, ' 選舉研究, Vol.19, No.1, pp.69-95.(TSSCI) 參考連結
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2011.12, 'Examining the ‘Midterm Loss’ in Taiwan: An Analysis of the 2009 County Magistrate Election, ' Japanese Journal of Electoral Studies, Vol.27, No.2, pp.77-92.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;蔡佳泓*, 2011.10, '社會公平與經濟發展:台灣民眾的政策意向之初探, ' 社會科學論叢, Vol.5, No.2, pp.135-172.(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
  • 蔡佳泓*;俞振華*, 2011.06, '地方政府如何回應民意?以2006-2007年為例, ' 台灣政治學刊, Vol.15, No.1.(TSSCI)(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
  • 俞振華*, 2010.05, '從州議會到國會:探索美國州議會專業化對議員政治生涯的影響, ' 選舉研究, Vol.17, No.1, pp.129-147.(TSSCI)(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2008.12, 'Pacific Asia: New Regional Approach for Democratization? Book Review: Roland Rich, Pacific Asia in Quest for Democracy, ' Taiwan Journal of Democracy, Vol.4, No.2, pp.183-188.(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
  • 俞振華*;蔡佳泓, 2006.06, '如何利用全國性民調推估地方民意?多層次貝式定理估計模型與分層加權的應用, ' 台灣政治學刊, Vol.10, No.1, pp.5-38.(TSSCI)(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
會議論文
  • Hsiao, Yi-ching;Eric Chen-hua Yu*, 2023.09, 'Affective Polarization in East Asia— A Comparative Analysis of Taiwan, Japan, and Korea, ' Handbook of Affective Polarization Barcelona Workshop, Pompeu Fabra University.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Chi Huang, 2021.12, 'Rally around the Jab? COVID-19 Vaccine Policy and Presidential Approval Rating in Taiwan, ' International Symposium on Democratic Governance and Democratic Recession in the Indo-Pacific Region, University of Canterbury.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2021.11, 'Do Waves of Democracy Matter? Comparing Citizenship Norms and Political Participation in Different Democracies, ' Annual Conference of World Association of Public Opinion Research—ASIA Chapter, King Prajadhipok’s Institute (KPI),.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Yi-ching Hsiao, 2021.09, 'Media Use and Political Polarization in Taiwan, ' Annual Meeting of American Association of Political Science, American Association of Political Science.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2020.11, 'The Role of Polling in Taiwan’s Election, ' Annual Conference of World Association of Public Opinion Research—ASIA Chapter, WAPOR-ASIA.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2020.10, 'Presidential Approval Rating in Taiwan, ' Annual Conference of World Association of Public Opinion Research, World Association of Public Opinion Research.(*為通訊作者)
  • Hsiao, Yi-ching;Eric Chen-hua Yu*, 2019.10, 'Polarization and Democratic Support, ' 2019 TIGCR International Conference on “Political Polarization: Perspectives of Governance and Communication", Taiwan Institute for Governance and Communication Research.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2019.09, 'Media Consumption and Political Participation in Taiwan, ' Annual Conference of WAPOR-ASIA, Centre for Voting Opinion & Trends in Election Research (CVoter).(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2019.08, 'The Impact of Polling Primaries on Electoral Performance, ' Annual Meeting of American Political Science Association, American Political Science Association.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2019.04, 'Political Leadership's Approval Ratings in Taiwan, ' 16th Annual Conference of European Association of Taiwan Studies, European Association of Taiwan Studies.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2018.10, 'Analyzing National Factors in Taiwan's Local Elections, ' 2018 International Conference of Asian Electoral Studies, Keio University.(*為通訊作者)
  • Hsiao, Yi-ching;Eric Chen-hua Yu*, 2018.08, 'Polarization Perception and Support for Democracy: The Case of Taiwan, ' 114th Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, American Political Science Association.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Ting-wei Weng, 2018.05, 'Citizenship Norm and Political Participation: A Cross-Country Analysis, ' 2018 WAPOR-ASIA Conference: New Era of Public Opinion Research in Asia, World Association of Public Opinion Research: Asia Chapter.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Kaori Shoji, 2018.05, 'Do Photogenic Candidates Have Better Election Chances? An Experiment, ' Annual Meeting of Japanese Association of Electoral Studies, Takushoku University.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Ting-wei Weng, 2017.10, 'Citizenship Norm and Political Participation in Taiwan, ' 11th Asian Electoral Studies Annual Conference, Korean Association of Electoral Studies.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Jia-sin Yu, 2017.03, 'The Rise of Social Media and Cyber Mobilization during the Era of Ma Ying-jeou, ' Taiwan's Democratic Development: Reflections on the Ma Ying-jeou Era, Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2016.12, 'The Role of Polling in Taiwan’s Party Politics, ' Election Polling and Democratic Consolidation in Korea and Taiwan, Institute of East Asian Studies.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;林啟耀;游清鑫, 2016.11, '台灣民眾統獨態度的變遷:政黨輪替的觀點, ' 台灣社會變遷三十年:台灣社會變遷基本調查第二十七次研討會, 中央研究院社會學研究所.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;涂志揚, 2016.10, '再探小樣本推估:利用全國性調查推估區域立委選情, ' 2016年台灣政治學會年會暨 「民主的挑戰與深化:台灣新政局的契機」國際學術研討會, 台灣政治學會.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Ting-wei Weng, 2016.09, 'The Linkage between Citizenship Norms and Political Participation in Taiwan: From Democratic Transition to Consolidation, ' 24th Annual Taiwan Studies Conference: Taiwan and the 2016 Election: The Road Ahead, Walker Institute.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;翁定暐, 2016.05, '台灣的「好公民」變了嗎?從公民規範認知看民眾政治參與, ' 公民意識與多元價值學術研討會, 中央研究院人文社會科學研究中心.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Chao-chi Lin, 2016.05, 'The Transformation of Candidate Selection Methods in Taiwan’s Major Political Parties, ' 2016 Annual Meeting of Japanese Association of Electoral Studies, Japanese Association of Electoral Studies.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Ting-wei Weng, 2015.11, 'Perception of "Good Citizenship" and Political Participation Across 20 Nations, ' 公民權:台灣社會變遷基本調查第二十五次研討會, 中央研究院社會學研究所.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;涂志揚, 2015.11, '探討以PSA結合電訪與網路調查資料的可行性, ' 2015兩岸四地民意調查:現況與展望學術研討會, 選舉研究中心.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Jean Yu-chen Tseng, 2015.09, 'Change and Continuity of National Identity and Partisanship in Taiwan, 1996-2014, ' 2015 Annual Meeting of American Political Science Association, American Political Science Association.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;余家炘, 2015.05, '臺灣選舉研究的回顧與展望: 民主化與選舉研究, ' 政治大學政治學系在臺復系六十週年紀念研討會, 政大政治學系.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;林啟耀, 2014.11, 'Why Do Taiwanese Youngsters Support the 318 Sunflower Student Movement? An Analysis of Issue Cleavages, ' 2014 Annual Conference of Asian Network for Public Opinion Research, Asian Network for Public Opinion Research.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*, 2014.10, 'The Challenge of Youth Politics to the KMT and DPP. The Politics of Polarization: Taiwan in Comparative Perspective, '.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2014.08, 'The Impact of Candidate Selection Methods on Inter- and Intra-Party Competition: A Comparison between Taiwan and Japan, ' 2014 Annual Meeting of American Political Science Association, American Political Science Association.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2013.11, 'Marriage between Web and Telephone Surveys: An Application of Propensity Score Adjustment, ' 2013 Annual Conference of Asian Network for Public Opinion Research, Seoul National University.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;林長志*, 2013.03, '立委新選制下民進黨候選人提名制度的變革:黨際競爭與黨內競爭下的產物, ' 當代行政之課題與展望學術研討會, 國立政治大學國際關係研究中心.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華, 2012.11, '總統(中央政府)施政表現與各級選舉中的投票行為, ' TEDS2012國際學術研討會, 台灣大學.
  • 曾于蓁;俞振華, 2012.08, '台灣民間基層組織與兩岸經貿交流-以養殖業「契作」為例, ' 兩岸參與式治理比較研究, 北京清華大學.
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua;Chia-hung Tsai, 2012.06, 'Miracle Medicine for Curing Low Turnout? Evaluation of Electronic Voting in Taiwan, ' 65th Annual Conference of World Association of Public Opinion Research, Hong Kong University.
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua;Pei-chen Hsu, 2012.06, 'Exploring Issue Ownership in Campaign Advertising: An Experiment via Internet Survey, ' 65th Annual Meeting of World Association of Public Opinion Research, Hong Kong University.
  • Yu, Ching-hsin;Yu, Eric Chen-hua;Shoji, Kaori, 2012.05, 'The Best (Woman) Wins? A Comparative Study of Candidate Selection of Parliamentary Members in Japan and Taiwan, ' The 2012 Annual Meeting of Japanese Association of Electoral Studies, University of Tsukuba, Japan.
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Ching-hsin Yu, 2012.04, 'Electoral System, Party Politics and Legislative Candidate Selection in Taiwan, ' Democracy and Development, Latvian Academy of Sciences, pp.162-175.(*為通訊作者)
  • Tsai, Chia-hung;Chin-hsin Yu;Eric Chen-hua Yu;Su-feng Cheng, 2012.02, 'Is "Polling Primary" the Best Way to Select Candidates? Analyzing an Innovation of Candidate Selection Mechanism in Taiwan, ' Asian Election Studies International Conference, Keio University.
  • 俞振華;蔡佳泓, 2011.11, '評估「電子投票」對投票意願所可能帶來的影響, ' 2011年台灣政治學會年會, 國立政治大學政治學系. 參考連結
  • 俞振華, 2011.06, '網路民意調查的理論與實務, ' 「海峽兩岸民意調查的理論、方法和實踐」學術研討會, 廈門大學. 參考連結
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua, 2011.05, 'The Electoral Effect of Voter Turnout in Taiwan: Who Benefits from a Low Turnout in the 2009 Local Election?, ' Annual Meeting of the Japanese Association of Electoral Studies, Kansai University. 參考連結
  • 俞振華;林啟耀, 2010.12, '模稜兩可的選擇?再論台灣民眾統獨抉擇中理念與務實的兩難, ' 2010台灣政治學會年會暨「重新思考國家:五都之後,百年前夕」學術研討會, 台灣政治學會. 參考連結
  • 吳皇昇;俞振華, 2010.12, '「感性」與「理性」的衝突?選民的政黨認同與施政評價 對選舉結果的影響, ' 2010台灣政治學會年會暨「重新思考國家:五都之後,百年前夕」學術研討會, 台灣政治學會.
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua;Chi Huang;Yi-ching Hsiao, 2010.09, 'Who Wants Checks and Balances? Endogeneity of the Balancing Perspective, ' Conference Group of Taiwan Studies, Annual Meeting of American Political Science Association. 參考連結
  • 俞振華;陳陸輝, 2010.06, '解析2009年縣市長選舉:動員失敗還是政績太爛?, ' 「兩岸民間社會與公共參與」學術研討會, 政治大學中國大陸研究中心. 參考連結
  • 俞振華, 2010.03, '領袖還是公僕?民主體制下的領導困境, ' 「領導與公民意識」學術研討會, 中央研究院人文社會科學研究中心政治思想研究專題中心. 參考連結
  • 俞振華, 2009.11, '測量選舉民調的機構效應, ' 2009年台灣政治學會年會暨學術研討會, 台灣政治學會. 參考連結
  • Chia-hung Tsai;Eric Chen-hua Yu;Chi Huang, 2008.08, 'Issues beyond Independence versus Unification: Taiwanese Orientation on Domestic Public Policy, ' Conference Group on Taiwan Studies at the 2008 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, American Political Science Association. 參考連結
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2008.05, 'Dynamic of Partisanship, National Identity, and Issue Cleavages in the DPP Era, ' Conference on Democratic Consolidation in Taiwan, Stanford University.
  • Da-Chi Liao;Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2008.01, 'Are Taiwanese Politics Polarized?—An Overview Since 2000, ' International Conference on Polarized Politics in A Comparative Perspective—America, South Korea, and Taiwan, Taiwan Foundation for Democracy.
  • Da-chi Liao;Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2007.09, 'Assessment of Third Force Existing under the Two-Ballot Votes and Single Member District Plurality Voting System in Taiwan, ' Taiwan, China and Democratization in East Asia: An International Symposium Conference, Missouri State University.
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu;Chia-hung Tsai, 2007.08, 'Policy Preferences and Implications for Political Parties, ' Conference Group on Taiwan Studies at the 2007 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, American Political Science Association.
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2007.04, 'Taiwanese Public Opinion and Cross-Strait Public Diplomacy, ' Conference on Public Diplomacy, Counter publics and the Asia Pacific, Stanford University & University of San Francisco.
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu;Chia-hung Tsai;Yung-ming Hsu, 2006.08, 'Reaching into the Grassroots: A Comparative Study of Local Public Opinions in Taiwan, ' Conference Group on Taiwan Studies at the 2006 Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, American Political Science Association. 參考連結
  • 俞振華;蔡佳泓, 2005.12, '如何利用全國性民調推估地方民意?多層次貝式定理估計模型與分層加權的應用, ' 2005年台灣政治學會年會暨學術研討會, 台灣政治學會. 參考連結
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2005.11, 'Laboratory Federalism and State Welfare Reforms, ' The 2005 Annual Conference of Northeastern Political Science Association, Northeastern Political Science Association.
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2005.05, 'The Impact of Welfare Reforms on Welfare Caseload, ' The 2005 Annual Conference of State Politics and Policy, State Politics and Policy Association.
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2004.11, 'Public Opinion on Welfare Reform in the American States: A Mandate for What?, ' The 2004 Annual Conference of Northeastern Political Science Association, Northeastern Political Science Association.
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2004.09, 'Measuring Public Opinion toward Welfare Reform in the American States: An Application of Hierarchical Logistic Regression Model using National Survey, ' The 2004 Annual Meeting of American Political Science Association, American Political Science Association.
  • Eric Chen-hua Yu, 2002.04, 'The Effect of Legislative Professionalism on State Legislators'' Career Paths, ' The 2002 Annual Conference of New York State Political Science Association, New York State Political Science Association.
專書篇章
  • Hsiao, Yi-ching;Eric Chen-hula Yu*, 2024.11, 'Affective Polarization in East Asia, '.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Chi Huang, 2023.12, 'Vaccine Policy and Presidential Approval Ratings, ' Public Opinion, Policy Responses, and Party Politics under the COVID-19 Pandemic, Lexington Books, pp.11-33.(*為通訊作者)
  • 陳陸輝*;俞振華, 2021.09, '2020年總統選舉的回顧與影響, ' 2020 年總統選舉:新時代的開端, 五南圖書出版股份有限公司, pp.1-18.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Jia-sin Yu, 2020.09, 'Social Media and Cyber-Mobilization, ' Dynamics of democracy in Taiwan : the Ma Ying-jeou years, Lynne Rienner Publishers, Inc., pp.337-406.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*, 2018.07, '變,或不變?2016年總統立委選舉主要政黨的候選人甄補機制, ' 2016年臺灣大選:新民意與新挑戰, 五南書局, pp.25-52.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*, 2016.06, 'Partisanship and Public Opinion, ' Taiwan's Democracy Challenged: The Chen Shui-bian Years, Lynn Rienner Publishers, pp.73-94.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*;余家炘, 2016.05, '台灣選舉研究:記錄民主化的軌跡, ' 傳承與創新:政大政治學系與台灣政治學的發展, 政大出版社, pp.245-270.(*為通訊作者)
  • Yu, Eric Chen-hua*;Kaori Shoji;Nathan Batto, 2016.04, 'Innovations in Candidate Selection Methods, ' Mixed-Member Electoral Systems in Constitutional Context: Taiwan, Japan, and Beyond, University of Michigan Press, pp.135-164.(*為通訊作者)
  • 俞振華*, 2013.09, '網路民意調查的理論與實務, ' 民意調查新論, 陳陸輝主編, 五南, pp.89-110.(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
  • 俞振華*;廖達琪;黃志呈, 2008.01, '評估第三勢力在單一選區選制下的發展空間, ' 單一選區兩票制, 台灣商務印書, pp.187-207.(*為通訊作者) 參考連結
研究報告
  • 游清鑫;蔡佳泓;俞振華, 2010.05, '「民眾對當前兩岸關係之看法」民意調查報告書, ' 行政院大陸委員會.
  • 蔡佳泓;鄭夙芬;俞振華, 2009.09, '「民眾對當前兩岸關係的看法」民意調查報告書, ' 行政院陸委會. 參考連結
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