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Abstract

Vol.18 No.2 Nov. 2011
   
Cheng-hao Pao 包正豪
 
  The Change and Continuity of Aboriginal Electoral Politics: An Analysis of the Aggregate Data of Indigenous Legislative Elections Results (1992-2008)
原住民政治版圖的持續與變遷: 1992-2008立委選舉的總體資料分析
 
 

Abstract
This research analyzes the aggregate data of indigenous legislative election results (1992-2008) to figure out the indigenous vote distribution and to discuss the reasons to cause the electoral stability and change by using the cross-level inference method. The research findings show that the KMT does not enjoy a stable support from Taiwan’s indigenous electorate. A certain part of the KMT’s electoral support is based on local politicians’ personal votes. Once the alliance between the KMT and local politicians is broken, the KMT’s electoral support will be immediately shrunk. In other words, political students who study Taiwan’s aboriginal electoral politics should regard not only political parties but also local politicians as research units. In fact, in order to have profound understandings about aboriginal electoral politics, this research suggests a new perspective, by using local politician’s personal votes as a breakthrough point, to do the researches.

Keywords: indigenous people, personal vote, legislative elections, cross-level inference







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